We look at a few stats to predict the match.
A recent loss against Preston North End has seen hosts Luton Town drop to 10th position in the table. They have collected 21 points in 15 matches, with five wins and six draws as of now. Nathan Jones and co would certainly like to bounce back from the shock defeat away from home last weekend and the home advantage might help them gain back stability.
Luton are one of the best attacks in the league. They have scored a total of 23 goals so far from an xG of 23.92, the fourth highest in the league. They have been nearly on par with their metric Elijah Adebayo being the highest goal scorer with seven goals. Harry Cornick has chipped in with six goals as well. The hosts have scored five goals in the last five matches, winning two, drawing two and losing one.
Middlesbrough are just neck to neck with Luton in the league. A loss last weekend against Birmingham City has also seen them drop down just behind Luton on 11th position. Neil Warnock’s men have been in a really good knick of form recently and would certainly eye the match on Tuesday to get back to winning ways.
Boro have scored a total of 17 goals so far with an xG of 20.13, which they have under performed. But their recent form has been good in front of goal, scoring six times while they won three consecutive matches among their last four.
While Luton have been real impressive in the final third, they have had a leaky defence. They have conceded 20 goals, nearly three more than their xGA of 17.36. On the other hand, Middlesbrough have scored less goals than their counterparts but are much more solid in defence with 15 goals allowed, lesser than their xGA of 16.07, which is the fifth lowest in the league. The visitors have also recorded three clean sheets in their last four outings.
A lot of credit for their strong defensive output goes to the fact that Middlesbrough love to stay behind the ball most of the time. Neil Warnock has set his team up to hit the opponents on counters and they have done that effectively well, with 45 counter attacks – the second most in the league after Coventry City.
Luton have had the third lowest number of breaks on counter with 20. This shows their tendency to dominate the possession and create attacks from there. It will be a very interesting match-up between the two teams, where Middlesbrough who has been really comfortable in defending will be up against the challenge of an in-form Luton attack. On the contrary, Luton’ somewhat vulnerable defence has to deal with one of the best counter attacking teams in the league and it surely is going to be a big task for their defence to stop Boro’ fast counters.
Both the teams have lost their last match by a margin of 0-2 and are looking to get back to winning ways. We expect the match to produce a lot of entertainment and predict a 1-2 victory for Middlesbrough.