Pride Park Stadium will see Derby County host Swansea City on Saturday night in the EFL Championship matchday 11.
We use stats to predict the match.
Derby County started the campaign in a pretty good manner until the club went into administration and right now find themselves at the bottom of the table with just one point – even after three wins and four draws. Since then, Derby have lost a match to Sheffield United and won to Reading at home. They welcome Swansea with the motive to win again and continue on their hard-fought journey towards the top again.
The Rams have scored seven goals from an xG of 9.54, which is pretty low in relation to the league average but they have slightly underperformed. However, they have been pretty solid at the back allowing just eight goals till now boasting the second-best defence in the league.
Swansea have a worse start to the season than their oppositions just that they haven’t been so unlucky. They currently sit on 19th in the league inches above the drop zone with two wins and four draws from ten games. They have lost their last away match to Fulham and would try to bounce back with a win.
They have scored nine goals from an xG of 8.78, the third-lowest in the league but have been at par with their numbers. The Swans however have conceded 14 goals till now and do not quite have a good defensive resistance to show.
Both Derby and Swansea are neck to neck with each other in terms of shots on target in the league, on the lower side of the league average. The match could be very close and interesting match.
The Rams do have a solid defence and if they can stop the Swans from scoring goals, Derby can hurt Swansea on the counters who love to dominate ball possession with a defence leaking goals at the other end.
Derby have won their last two home matches and would look to make it three on the trot, while Swansea have drawn and lost the last two away matches still trying to find a victory.
Wayne Rooney’s men would miss striker Colin Kazim-Richards and midfielder Krystian Bielik at home while Russell Martin travels with a total fit bunch of players.
We predict a 1-0 victory for Derby or a 0-0 draw.
Predicted XI
Derby County (4-2-3-1): Roos, Bryne, Jagielka, Davies, Buchanan, Bird, Shinnie, Knight, Morrison, Lawrence, Baldock.
Swansea City (3-4-2-1): Hamer, Latibeaudiere, Cabango, Manning, Laird, Grimes, Downes, Bidwell, Paterson, Cullen, Piroe.
