Luton Town cannot lose Friday afternoon’s game to Derby County at Pride Park, with the relegation six-pointer a must-win for Matt Bloomfield’s side.
That is more true of Luton, who simply must claim victory if they are to have any chance of Championship survival in an utterly dismal season for the side after relegation from the Premier League last year and the distinct possibility of League One football looming for next year.
| Position | Team | Played MP | Won W | Drawn D | Lost L | For GF | Against GA | Diff GD | Points Pts |
| 17 | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 48 | |
| 18 | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 47 | |
| 19 | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 50 | 66 | -16 | 46 | |
| 20 | 42 | 11 | 12 | 19 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 45 | |
| 21 | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 43 | |
| 22 | 42 | 9 | 15 | 18 | 45 | 66 | -21 | 42 | |
| 23 | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 40 | |
| 24 | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 44 | 82 | -38 | 40 |
It’s a key fixture in the relegation run-in and Derby could close in on safety with a win, which a number of neutrals and pundits expect Derby to do. Relegation would be closer to a reality for a Luton side which would see it cost them £4.5 million.
A physical battle is to be expected from Eustace and the visitors, who need a response from the disappointment of the defeat to Blackburn and to prove recent supercomputer projections wrong, by securing victory over the Rams.

Matt Bloomfield on Derby County experiences
Back in November 2020, Bloomfield was a player for Wycombe Wanderers. He was captain, leader, legend for the club where he eventually became manager. He scored his first Championship goal of his career in a 1-1 draw with Derby at Pride Park in the 81st minute to snatch a draw against Wayne Rooney.
It’s therefore happy memories for him in Derbyshire, as that goal meant that Bloomfield had scored in every Wycombe Wanderers’ season up to that point since he first signed for the club back in the 2003/04 season.
Speaking via Bucks Free Press at the time, Bloomfield said: “It has happened in the past where you have been out of the team and nowhere near it, and then you’re required to play your part.
“But injuries happen in football and you get your opportunity. I have been working hard in the gym and have been waiting to get my opportunity and it came.”
On his goal, he added: “It makes me feel like a little kid.
“The odds of me getting a Championship goal over the last five/six seasons when we were in League Two, I would have told you that there would be absolutely no chance of that happening.
“I am so chuffed to have come on and got a goal. This is the stuff of dreams.
“Getting Wycombe into the Championship, the goal, and I just want us to keep improving, moving forward, and get the points that we need.”
Many of his words as a player apply to the game on Friday, with Bloomfield since leaving Wycombe for Luton this season to further his career and to enjoy more days out like a trip to Derby.
He felt like a boy then, but he needs to be the man for Luton town in these four remaining games, starting in Derbyshire on Friday.
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Luton’s survival chances take hit without key duo
The Rams have four wins and two draws in their last seven league outings home or away and have escaped the relegation zone for now amid ‘insane statistics’ being set under Eustace’s tutelage.
Without Elijah Adebayo and Alfie Doughty for the rest of the season, Luton lose a large part of their set-piece threat combination, which could be the difference in this game against an in-form side.
Doughty’s delivery can be a huge differential in a game of this size and scale, where fine margins will be the difference. Any minor gain like that can be an advantage.
Opta give them just an 11.36% chance of survival from here, but that doesn’t factor in those huge losses. Adebayo may have had a poor season in front of goal but his aerial threat is needed in both boxes.
Derby do not lack on that front, having accumulated 40.53% of their chances from set-pieces this season and scored the most goals in the division (19) from those situations as well.
