The chances of survival for the likes of Plymouth Argyle, Luton Town, and many others fearing the drop have been revealed.
As we enter the business end of the 2024/25 Championship campaign, several sides are left with the potential of dropping down to League One.
A total of eight sides, looking from Oxford United and downwards in the Championship, find themselves scrambling to pick up points, as Hull City will be doing this evening as they host play-off chasers Coventry City, a chance for the Tigers to create some space between themselves and the bottom three.
Ultimately, this weekend saw several massive results that helped shape the landscape of the bottom end of the league table, including Plymouth Argyle’s win vs Sheffield United, whilst Luton Town struggled against a severely out-of-form Blackburn Rovers side, losing 1-0 in the end.
After this weekend’s action, OPTA’s relegation predictions have dropped, in which it gives a true reflection as to how likely the rest of the season is set to pan out.

OPTA predictions reveal the mountain to climb for Plymouth Argyle and worrying news for Luton Town
The current shape of the Championship relegation scrap sees Cardiff City, Luton Town and Plymouth Argyle make up the bottom three spots, whilst Derby County and Hull City hover above the drop.
Per OPTA Analyst, their predictions suggest that the likely outcome is for the bottom three to remain as it is…
| Team | Chance of survival (%) |
| Oxford United | 2.42 |
| Stoke City | 2.96 |
| Portsmouth | 4.78 |
| Hull City | 7.02 |
| Derby County | 29.82 |
| Cardiff City | 69.08 |
| Luton Town | 89.28 |
| Plymouth Argyle | 94.60 |
Despite Plymouth’s mammoth result against the Blades this weekend, they still certainly have a mountain to climb in their four remaining games of the campaign.

Plymouth Argyle run-in could hand difficulties to Miron Muslic
With four games left of the Championship season and three points separating them and safety, it seems, on the surface, that just a mere 5.4% chance of survival is rather harsh on Plymouth Argyle, but their run-in is certainly one to be feared.
This Friday, they face a trip to Michael Carrick’s Middlesbrough, whilst clashes against Coventry City, Preston North End, and Leeds United follow.
You would think that the Pilgrims will require seven points at the very minimum to stand a chance, especially amid the top form Derby County find themselves in. Miron Muslic has proved many doubters wrong already, and has delivered some historic wins, but none of it would quite amount to the potential of survival at this stage, which looks slim.
